{"id":4037,"date":"2023-03-15T08:54:30","date_gmt":"2023-03-15T08:54:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience2030.com\/la-ciencia-fisica-del-cambio-climatico\/"},"modified":"2023-03-23T14:31:54","modified_gmt":"2023-03-23T14:31:54","slug":"la-ciencia-fisica-del-cambio-climatico","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience2030.com\/es\/la-ciencia-fisica-del-cambio-climatico\/","title":{"rendered":"La ciencia f\u00edsica del cambio clim\u00e1tico"},"content":{"rendered":"[vc_row type=\u00bbin_container\u00bb full_screen_row_position=\u00bbmiddle\u00bb column_margin=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_direction=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction_tablet=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction_phone=\u00bbdefault\u00bb bg_image=\u00bb2804&#8243; bg_position=\u00bbleft top\u00bb background_image_loading=\u00bbdefault\u00bb bg_repeat=\u00bbno-repeat\u00bb scene_position=\u00bbcenter\u00bb top_padding=\u00bb12%\u00bb constrain_group_1=\u00bbyes\u00bb bottom_padding=\u00bb12%\u00bb text_color=\u00bblight\u00bb text_align=\u00bbcenter\u00bb row_border_radius=\u00bbnone\u00bb row_border_radius_applies=\u00bbbg\u00bb overflow=\u00bbvisible\u00bb id=\u00bbculture\u00bb overlay_strength=\u00bb0.3&#8243; 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text_color=\u00bb#000000&#8243; style=\u00bbfull_text\u00bb highlight_expansion=\u00bbdefault\u00bb]\n<h1><em>La ciencia f\u00edsica del cambio clim\u00e1tico<\/em><\/h1>\n[\/nectar_highlighted_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row type=\u00bbin_container\u00bb full_screen_row_position=\u00bbmiddle\u00bb column_margin=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction_tablet=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction_phone=\u00bbdefault\u00bb scene_position=\u00bbcenter\u00bb top_padding=\u00bb6%\u00bb bottom_padding=\u00bb3%\u00bb left_padding_desktop=\u00bb18%\u00bb constrain_group_2=\u00bbyes\u00bb right_padding_desktop=\u00bb18%\u00bb left_padding_tablet=\u00bb0&#8243; constrain_group_4=\u00bbyes\u00bb right_padding_tablet=\u00bb0&#8243; left_padding_phone=\u00bb0&#8243; right_padding_phone=\u00bb0&#8243; text_color=\u00bbdark\u00bb text_align=\u00bbleft\u00bb row_border_radius=\u00bbnone\u00bb row_border_radius_applies=\u00bbbg\u00bb overflow=\u00bbvisible\u00bb overlay_strength=\u00bb0.3&#8243; gradient_direction=\u00bbleft_to_right\u00bb shape_divider_position=\u00bbbottom\u00bb bg_image_animation=\u00bbnone\u00bb gradient_type=\u00bbdefault\u00bb shape_type=\u00bb\u00bb][vc_column column_padding=\u00bbno-extra-padding\u00bb column_padding_tablet=\u00bbinherit\u00bb column_padding_phone=\u00bbinherit\u00bb column_padding_position=\u00bball\u00bb column_element_direction_desktop=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_element_spacing=\u00bbdefault\u00bb desktop_text_alignment=\u00bbdefault\u00bb tablet_text_alignment=\u00bbdefault\u00bb phone_text_alignment=\u00bbdefault\u00bb background_color_opacity=\u00bb1&#8243; background_hover_color_opacity=\u00bb1&#8243; column_backdrop_filter=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_shadow=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_border_radius=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_link_target=\u00bb_self\u00bb column_position=\u00bbdefault\u00bb gradient_direction=\u00bbleft_to_right\u00bb overlay_strength=\u00bb0.3&#8243; width=\u00bb1\/1&#8243; tablet_width_inherit=\u00bbdefault\u00bb animation_type=\u00bbdefault\u00bb bg_image_animation=\u00bbnone\u00bb border_type=\u00bbsimple\u00bb column_border_width=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_border_style=\u00bbsolid\u00bb][vc_column_text]\n<h2>En la primera parte del \u00faltimo informe del IPCC, \u00abBases de la ciencia f\u00edsica\u00bb, se describe el sistema clim\u00e1tico y c\u00f3mo estamos interfiriendo en \u00e9l los seres humanos.<\/h2>\n[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row type=\u00bbin_container\u00bb full_screen_row_position=\u00bbmiddle\u00bb column_margin=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction_tablet=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction_phone=\u00bbdefault\u00bb scene_position=\u00bbcenter\u00bb bottom_padding=\u00bb6%\u00bb left_padding_desktop=\u00bb18%\u00bb constrain_group_2=\u00bbyes\u00bb right_padding_desktop=\u00bb18%\u00bb left_padding_tablet=\u00bb0&#8243; constrain_group_4=\u00bbyes\u00bb right_padding_tablet=\u00bb0&#8243; left_padding_phone=\u00bb0&#8243; right_padding_phone=\u00bb0&#8243; text_color=\u00bbdark\u00bb text_align=\u00bbleft\u00bb row_border_radius=\u00bbnone\u00bb row_border_radius_applies=\u00bbbg\u00bb overflow=\u00bbvisible\u00bb overlay_strength=\u00bb0.3&#8243; gradient_direction=\u00bbleft_to_right\u00bb shape_divider_position=\u00bbbottom\u00bb bg_image_animation=\u00bbnone\u00bb gradient_type=\u00bbdefault\u00bb shape_type=\u00bb\u00bb][vc_column column_padding=\u00bbno-extra-padding\u00bb column_padding_tablet=\u00bbinherit\u00bb column_padding_phone=\u00bbinherit\u00bb column_padding_position=\u00bball\u00bb column_element_direction_desktop=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_element_spacing=\u00bbdefault\u00bb desktop_text_alignment=\u00bbdefault\u00bb tablet_text_alignment=\u00bbdefault\u00bb phone_text_alignment=\u00bbdefault\u00bb background_color_opacity=\u00bb1&#8243; background_hover_color_opacity=\u00bb1&#8243; column_backdrop_filter=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_shadow=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_border_radius=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_link_target=\u00bb_self\u00bb column_position=\u00bbdefault\u00bb gradient_direction=\u00bbleft_to_right\u00bb overlay_strength=\u00bb0.3&#8243; width=\u00bb1\/1&#8243; tablet_width_inherit=\u00bbdefault\u00bb animation_type=\u00bbdefault\u00bb bg_image_animation=\u00bbnone\u00bb border_type=\u00bbsimple\u00bb column_border_width=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_border_style=\u00bbsolid\u00bb][vc_column_text]Esta parte del informe la redact\u00f3 el Grupo de Trabajo II del IPCC y se public\u00f3 en agosto de 2021. Se examinan los fundamentos f\u00edsicos del cambio clim\u00e1tico pasado, presente y futuro, bas\u00e1ndose en m\u00e1s de 14 000 art\u00edculos publicados. El informe concluye que la humanidad es \u00abinequ\u00edvocamente\u00bb responsable del calentamiento global y que seguimos llevando a la Tierra a un estado de alteraci\u00f3n permanente.[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row type=\u00bbin_container\u00bb full_screen_row_position=\u00bbmiddle\u00bb column_margin=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction_tablet=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction_phone=\u00bbdefault\u00bb scene_position=\u00bbcenter\u00bb bottom_padding=\u00bb3%\u00bb left_padding_desktop=\u00bb6%\u00bb right_padding_desktop=\u00bb18%\u00bb left_padding_tablet=\u00bb0&#8243; constrain_group_4=\u00bbyes\u00bb right_padding_tablet=\u00bb0&#8243; left_padding_phone=\u00bb0&#8243; right_padding_phone=\u00bb0&#8243; text_color=\u00bbdark\u00bb text_align=\u00bbleft\u00bb row_border_radius=\u00bbnone\u00bb row_border_radius_applies=\u00bbbg\u00bb overflow=\u00bbvisible\u00bb overlay_strength=\u00bb0.3&#8243; gradient_direction=\u00bbleft_to_right\u00bb shape_divider_position=\u00bbbottom\u00bb bg_image_animation=\u00bbnone\u00bb gradient_type=\u00bbdefault\u00bb shape_type=\u00bb\u00bb][vc_column column_padding=\u00bbno-extra-padding\u00bb column_padding_tablet=\u00bbinherit\u00bb column_padding_phone=\u00bbinherit\u00bb column_padding_position=\u00bball\u00bb column_element_direction_desktop=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_element_spacing=\u00bbdefault\u00bb desktop_text_alignment=\u00bbdefault\u00bb tablet_text_alignment=\u00bbdefault\u00bb phone_text_alignment=\u00bbdefault\u00bb background_color_opacity=\u00bb1&#8243; background_hover_color_opacity=\u00bb1&#8243; column_backdrop_filter=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_shadow=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_border_radius=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_link_target=\u00bb_self\u00bb column_position=\u00bbdefault\u00bb gradient_direction=\u00bbleft_to_right\u00bb overlay_strength=\u00bb0.3&#8243; width=\u00bb1\/1&#8243; tablet_width_inherit=\u00bbdefault\u00bb animation_type=\u00bbdefault\u00bb bg_image_animation=\u00bbnone\u00bb border_type=\u00bbsimple\u00bb column_border_width=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_border_style=\u00bbsolid\u00bb][vc_column_text]\n<h2><strong>\u00bfCu\u00e1les son las novedades de este informe?<\/strong><\/h2>\n[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row type=\u00bbin_container\u00bb full_screen_row_position=\u00bbmiddle\u00bb column_margin=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction_tablet=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction_phone=\u00bbdefault\u00bb scene_position=\u00bbcenter\u00bb bottom_padding=\u00bb6%\u00bb left_padding_desktop=\u00bb40%\u00bb right_padding_desktop=\u00bb18%\u00bb left_padding_tablet=\u00bb0&#8243; constrain_group_4=\u00bbyes\u00bb right_padding_tablet=\u00bb0&#8243; left_padding_phone=\u00bb0&#8243; right_padding_phone=\u00bb0&#8243; text_color=\u00bbdark\u00bb text_align=\u00bbleft\u00bb row_border_radius=\u00bbnone\u00bb row_border_radius_applies=\u00bbbg\u00bb overflow=\u00bbvisible\u00bb overlay_strength=\u00bb0.3&#8243; gradient_direction=\u00bbleft_to_right\u00bb shape_divider_position=\u00bbbottom\u00bb bg_image_animation=\u00bbnone\u00bb gradient_type=\u00bbdefault\u00bb shape_type=\u00bb\u00bb][vc_column column_padding=\u00bbno-extra-padding\u00bb column_padding_tablet=\u00bbinherit\u00bb column_padding_phone=\u00bbinherit\u00bb column_padding_position=\u00bball\u00bb column_element_direction_desktop=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_element_spacing=\u00bbdefault\u00bb desktop_text_alignment=\u00bbdefault\u00bb tablet_text_alignment=\u00bbdefault\u00bb phone_text_alignment=\u00bbdefault\u00bb background_color_opacity=\u00bb1&#8243; background_hover_color_opacity=\u00bb1&#8243; column_backdrop_filter=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_shadow=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_border_radius=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_link_target=\u00bb_self\u00bb column_position=\u00bbdefault\u00bb gradient_direction=\u00bbleft_to_right\u00bb overlay_strength=\u00bb0.3&#8243; width=\u00bb1\/1&#8243; tablet_width_inherit=\u00bbdefault\u00bb animation_type=\u00bbdefault\u00bb bg_image_animation=\u00bbnone\u00bb border_type=\u00bbsimple\u00bb column_border_width=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_border_style=\u00bbsolid\u00bb][vc_column_text]<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">En los informes del IPCC se resumen las investigaciones disponibles acerca del tema del cambio clim\u00e1tico (m\u00e1s informaci\u00f3n sobre c\u00f3mo funciona el proceso aqu\u00ed). Por eso, podemos observar c\u00f3mo ha evolucionado el campo desde el \u00faltimo informe (IE5) que se public\u00f3 en 2014, y hacer un seguimiento de los nuevos avances. Esto es exactamente lo que hizo Zero Carbon Analytics utilizando fuentes publicadas antes de que saliera a la luz el primer informe IE6.<\/span>[\/vc_column_text][vc_column_text]<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Por ejemplo, seg\u00fan su recuento, desde el IE5 hemos emitido casi 300 000 millones de toneladas adicionales de CO2, lo que nos acerca a los cruciales objetivos de temperatura del Acuerdo de Par\u00eds. De hecho, en su informe especial de 2018, el IPCC predice que incumpliremos el objetivo de 1,5 \u00b0C entre 2030 y 2052 si no cambiamos nuestra trayectoria. Puede leer el <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/zerocarbon-analytics.org\/archives\/science\/ipcc-6th-assessment-report-physical-science-basis\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">informe completo <\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">en el sitio web de Zero Carbon Analytics.<\/span>[\/vc_column_text][vc_column_text]<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Otras conclusiones fundamentales son la necesidad de disminuir sin demora las emisiones de metano, junto con las de carbono, y la maduraci\u00f3n r\u00e1pida de la \u00abciencia de la atribuci\u00f3n\u00bb, que permite vincular el calentamiento global con cambios en el sistema clim\u00e1tico del planeta. Las huellas de la humanidad est\u00e1n por todas partes. <\/span>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row type=\u00bbin_container\u00bb full_screen_row_position=\u00bbmiddle\u00bb column_margin=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction_tablet=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction_phone=\u00bbdefault\u00bb scene_position=\u00bbcenter\u00bb bottom_padding=\u00bb6%\u00bb left_padding_desktop=\u00bb18%\u00bb constrain_group_2=\u00bbyes\u00bb right_padding_desktop=\u00bb18%\u00bb left_padding_tablet=\u00bb0&#8243; constrain_group_4=\u00bbyes\u00bb right_padding_tablet=\u00bb0&#8243; left_padding_phone=\u00bb0&#8243; right_padding_phone=\u00bb0&#8243; text_color=\u00bbdark\u00bb text_align=\u00bbleft\u00bb row_border_radius=\u00bbnone\u00bb row_border_radius_applies=\u00bbbg\u00bb overflow=\u00bbvisible\u00bb overlay_strength=\u00bb0.3&#8243; gradient_direction=\u00bbleft_to_right\u00bb shape_divider_position=\u00bbbottom\u00bb 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border_type=\u00bbsimple\u00bb column_border_width=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_border_style=\u00bbsolid\u00bb][image_with_animation image_url=\u00bb3722&#8243; image_size=\u00bbfull\u00bb animation_type=\u00bbentrance\u00bb animation=\u00bbNone\u00bb animation_movement_type=\u00bbtransform_y\u00bb hover_animation=\u00bbnone\u00bb alignment=\u00bb\u00bb img_link_target=\u00bb_blank\u00bb border_radius=\u00bbnone\u00bb box_shadow=\u00bbnone\u00bb image_loading=\u00bbdefault\u00bb max_width=\u00bb100%\u00bb max_width_mobile=\u00bbdefault\u00bb img_link=\u00bbhttps:\/\/eciu.net\/analysis\/infographics\/ipcc-science-of-climate-change\u00bb][divider line_type=\u00bbNo Line\u00bb divider_opacity=\u00bb0&#8243; custom_height=\u00bb10&#8243;][vc_column_text]IPCC Explainer: The Science of Climate Change by John Lang\/eciu[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row type=\u00bbin_container\u00bb full_screen_row_position=\u00bbmiddle\u00bb column_margin=\u00bbdefault\u00bb 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